Classic Relief Rally
Just a quick post to show the sentiment swing that has caused/enabled the bear-market rally off of the March stock-market lows. The chart above is Intrade.com’s “Recession in 2008″ contract and it is now at new lows, putting the odds at less than 25% vs. 80% at the height of the March panic. I’m guessing that the pendulum will soon start swinging back in the other direction.


July 3, 2008 at 9:39 am
[...] time for a quick market update. Last time I posted on this was May 12th (see here), when I said that the rally from the March low was just a classic relief rally in a bear market [...]