Dollar – Euro Follow Up

The Euro Currency ETF (Amex: FXE): 6:00 AM NYC time, December 1st: Just a quick follow up on last week’s “falling dollar” postings. What we are looking at is an apparent breakaway gap to a multi-year high. That is noteworthy and something to watch, especially with a recession likely in 2007, as has been discussed on for almost a year — remember the…

…yield curve first inverted last December and corporate growth and profit margins have peaked, along with housing and consumer spending. See my “The Coming Avalanche” posting from November 2004 and also the other articles in my “The Dollar”, “FX” and “The Economy” categories. All told the dollar is down 13% vs. the Euro this year and 7% in six weeks, which is phenomenal. One final note, rapid adjustments in currency values have a history of preceding rapid adjustments in equity values (and often interest rates). Cheers!

Click here for an index of all of my recent Euro / FXE postings.

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